Finance Minister Jim Flaherty and Bank of Canada Governor Mark Carney have both called upon businesses to stop saving money and to spend it.
It is amazing to me the attitude of Jim Flaherty and Mark Carney. It doesn’t surprise me much from Mr. Flaherty, he has made it a habit of giving what I am sure he thinks is good advice to Canadian businessmen. Nor does it really surprise me coming from Mr. Carney. As unusual as it may be for a Bank of Canada Governor to make public statements like this, interfering is kind of his job.
No it doesn’t surprise me, but it does amaze me. Basic common sense would explain exactly why many corporations are saving (slightly) more than they traditionally have. Allow me to put it into terms that are personal to me:
I have a bit of a financial storm coming up in a few months (getting married is freaking expensive). Traditionally what I have done with extra cash at the end of the month is to either invest it in my retirement savings or use it to pay down my (student) debt. Since I have an idea that I am going to need a great deal of cash on hand in the near future, I have recently shifted my priorities. I am now putting every extra penny I have into the best interest rated short-term savings account that I can find. This way when the storm comes I am fully prepared.
Now if I were the president of a corporation I would also see a financial storm on the horizon for my company. Between the crisis in Europe and the debt of the United States, it seems pretty likely that some rough economic times are just up ahead. It is the responsible thing to do, for my shareholders and for my employees, to prepare for that storm as best as I can.
Of course my situation as a hypothetical corporate executive and a husband-to-be is not perfectly analogous. For the corporate leader it is far worst. I know a lot more about my storm than they know about theirs. I know when it is coming and at least some idea of how bad it will be. Also there are more elements of the storm that are under my control. The business presidents have no real knowledge of when their storm is coming and how bad it will hit them, nor do they have nearly the amount of control that I have.
So if it is rational for me to focus on savings then you would think that it would be even more rational for them to do the same. Especially when you consider how much it sucks to have to emphasize savings over investing. Right now I have a ton (for me anyway) of money that isn’t really doing much for me. I am not getting rid of debt nor am I making more money through investment. I have a decent interest rate but by decent I mean I am not losing too much money through inflation. Basically I am suffering some pretty clear opportunity costs. The reason for me to forgo potential benefits has to be and is a pretty compelling one. The same can be said for Canada’s businesses.
It is pure short term thinking combined with an obsession with consumption that has lead the Finance Minister and the Governor of the Bank of Canada to decry what they should realize is a reasonable and responsible financial strategy. The scary thing is that both of these men have the power, by one means or another, to compel corporate Canada to empty out their reserves. Then when the storm does hit, there will be nothing but government to once again come to the rescue.